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Bitcoin and altcoin analysis: dated scenarios, not prophecies

Between July 14, 2025 and April 22, 2026, Cripto Adicto published 53 technical analyses of Bitcoin, Ethereum and altcoins such as LINK, ONDO and XRP. They cover the kind of market stretch that leaves scars: from the October 2025 all-time high to the $60,000 zone in February 2026. This page shows you how to watch them to actually learn something, not to chase expired targets. The videos are in Spanish, and where times matter, they're given for mainland Spain.

16 min read●●58 videos
Bitcoin candlestick chart on a computer screen
Foto: Pexels

58 videos

XRP en 2027: La Noticia que Podría Disparar su Precio

· 4 views

Le Pregunté a Claude en qué Criptomonedas Invertir en 2027

· 417 views

Tom Lee y Saylor Advierten Bitcoin y Ethereum en PELIGRO MÁXIMO

· 188 views

TOP 3 Criptomonedas para 2027 (Mi Plan con 1.000 €)

· 381 views

3 Motivos que Nadie te Cuenta para Invertir en Bitcoin en 2027

· 292 views

Aún es pronto ¡Que no te engañen! La gran trampa de BTC

· 51 views

BITCOIN AL LÍMITE: Triángulo Simétrico a Punto de EXPLOTAR 🚨 ¿80.000$ o 58.000$?

· 26 views

Bitcoin explota tras romper resistencia de 72.000$ 🚀

· 23 views

URGENTE: Bitcoin en la Zona de la Muerte ☠️ (Análisis Rápido)

· 71 views

No compres Altcoins todavía... Espera a ESTA zona

· 143 views

Bear Market 2026: ¿Cuándo es el MEJOR momento para invertir en Bitcoin?

· 255 views

La Oportunidad de la Década en Bitcoin: NO la dejes escapar 📉

· 54 views

01 /

What you'll find in these 53 videos

The format barely changes. Bitcoin first, on the daily, weekly or 4-hour chart depending on the moment; then dominance (BTC.D), Ethereum and a round of altcoins that keeps coming back: Chainlink (LINK), Ondo (ONDO), XRP, Hedera (HBAR), Aave (AAVE) and BNB. Typically he lays out one or two scenarios with specific levels and what would confirm or cancel them: 26 of the 53 descriptions explicitly mention scenarios.

53

analyses published

13 h

of video in total

14.7 min

average length

526

views on the most-watched one (Oct 2, 2026)

There are streaks of two or three videos a week (November 2025 alone had nine) and a clear ending: after February 18, 2026 just one more arrived, on April 22, and that's where the category stops. Five days later the Entiende Cripto series kicked off and the channel turned toward educational videos. So this works as a closed archive: nine months of market, told as it happened, with the hits and misses in plain sight.

Two practical warnings. None of these videos has chapters, so if you're after what he said about a specific coin, you'll have to scrub through by hand. And the titles are in all caps and full of urgency (“¡ALERTA!”, “¡ÚLTIMA OPORTUNIDAD!”), which is standard YouTube packaging; the descriptions, by contrast, talk about scenarios, confirmations and invalidations. Telling the wrapper apart from the content is the first skill worth training.

02 /

Scenarios, not predictions: how to use a dated analysis

Deep down, a technical analysis is a list of “if A happens, B is the likely outcome.” The February 18, 2026 video makes that crystal clear: Bitcoin was squeezed into a symmetrical triangle with two possible exits, one toward $80,000 and the other toward $58,000. It doesn't pick a side; it tells you which level to watch and why compression tends to end in a sharp move.

Eight minutes that sum up the philosophy of the whole category: two scenarios, one deciding level and a coiled price right before the move.February 18, 2026· 26 views Loads from youtube-nocookie.com only when you press play.

Five steps to get the most out of any video in this category

  1. 01

    Check the date before the title

    Find on a chart where price was that day. If months have passed, the video is history: it's there to learn from, not to trade on.

  2. 02

    Write down the main scenario

    Which level has to break, on which timeframe and where it points. For example: “if it closes above X on the daily, the target is Y.”

  3. 03

    Find the invalidation

    The level that, if lost, kills the idea. An analysis without an invalidation level isn't a plan; it's an opinion.

  4. 04

    Check what happened next

    Scroll the chart forward. Was it confirmed, invalidated or neither? Repeat that with twenty videos and you'll learn more than many courses will teach you.

  5. 05

    Separate what you learn from what you'd do

    You can agree with an analysis and still not trade. The decision depends on your plan, your time horizon and how much money you can afford to lose.

Steps 3 and 4 work beautifully with the September 2025 pair. On the 7th he laid out a possible inverse head and shoulders (the “HCH invertido” in the titles) with a target around $121,000, explaining what would confirm it and what would invalidate it; on the 10th he posted the follow-up, “BTC cumple el HCH invertido” (BTC completes the inverse H&S). Watch them back to back and notice how the tone changes once the pattern stops being a hypothesis.

One pattern, from hypothesis to follow-up (September 2025)

¡MAÑANA ES CLAVE! 🚨 BTC en ZONA CRÍTICA | ETH análisis

· 323 views

¡AÚN NO ES TARDE! 🚀 BTC cumple el HCH invertido | ETH, XRP, ONDO y LINK análisis!

· 137 views

03 /

The patterns that keep coming up, explained for beginners

Almost every title in the category revolves around five chart patterns. None of them is magic: they're ways of summarizing the fight between buyers and sellers in a drawing. And every one of them can fail, which is worth keeping in mind from minute one.

Support and resistance
Zones where price has stalled before. At a support, buyers showed up; at a resistance, sellers did. When a resistance breaks decisively, it often turns into support. They're zones, not lines accurate to the dollar.
Inverse head and shoulders (“HCH invertido”)
Three troughs in a row, the middle one deepest. The line joining the bounces in between is the neckline, and the pattern counts as confirmed when price closes above it. The classic target is the distance from the head to that line, projected upward. The regular, non-inverted version is bearish.
Falling wedge (“cuña descendente”)
Lower highs and lower lows between two converging lines. It's usually read as bullish if price breaks out to the upside. It was the star of July 2025: on the 26th he presented it as a path to new highs, and on the 28th he posted the breakout, with a $125,000 target. Its twin, the rising wedge, reads the other way.
Double top and double bottom
Two highs (or two lows) at a similar level, with a dip (or a peak) in between. A double top is confirmed when price loses that dip; a double bottom, when it clears that peak. In August 2025 he watched a possible double top, and on October 1 a double bottom “rumbo a 127.000” (heading for $127,000).
Symmetrical triangle
Lower highs and higher lows: price gets squeezed. It's neutral until it breaks, which is why the February 2026 analysis gave two opposite targets.

Two details separate a serious reading from barroom chart talk. Confirmation: you almost always need a candle close on the other side of the level, not a wick that pokes through and snaps back. And timeframe: a pattern on the 4-hour chart carries far less weight than one on the weekly. The technical analysis guide walks through all of this calmly, with drawings.

04 /

RSI, MACD, dominance and macro: the rest of the toolbox

Patterns tell you where to look. Indicators and context help you decide how much to believe what you see. These are the pieces that show up most across the 53 videos:

RSI
The relative strength index, published by J. Welles Wilder in 1978. It runs from 0 to 100 and is usually calculated over 14 periods; by convention, above 70 is called overbought and below 30 oversold. The juicy part is divergences: price makes a higher high while RSI makes a lower one (a bearish signal), or the reverse. In November 2025 he devoted a video to comparing Bitcoin's RSI with its 2017 behavior.
MACD
Created by Gerald Appel in the late 1970s. It's the difference between two exponential moving averages (12 and 26 periods), with a 9-period signal line. Its crossovers and histogram show whether momentum is speeding up or fading. Like anything built on averages, it lags price.
Dominance (BTC.D)
Bitcoin's share of the total crypto market cap. If it falls while altcoins rise, money is rotating into them: hence the “altseason” calls of summer 2025. Careful, though: it also drops when stablecoins grow their share, with no altcoin party at all.
Total3
The crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum. It's a thermometer for altcoins as a group, without any single coin skewing the picture.
Russell 2000
An index of about 2,000 small US companies, run by FTSE Russell. On January 11, 2026 he looked at its correlation with Total3 as a clue to a possible altseason. Remember that correlation isn't causation: two charts that look alike today can stop doing so tomorrow.
Weekly close
The price at which the week's candle ends. Crypto trades 24/7, and on many platforms the week closes at 00:00 UTC on Monday: 1:00 a.m. in mainland Spain in winter, 2:00 a.m. in summer. Not on all of them: some start the weekly candle on Thursday, so check what your chart uses. A close above or below a level counts for more than any midweek wick.
FOMC and Powell
The Federal Reserve committee that sets US interest rates. It meets eight times a year and publishes its decision at 2:00 p.m. Washington time (usually 8:00 p.m. in Spain), followed by its chair's press conference. In 2025 it cut rates on September 17, October 29 and December 10, and the category has videos pinned to those dates and to Powell's Jackson Hole speech on August 22.
NVIDIA earnings
With the artificial intelligence boom, NVIDIA's quarterly results are watched as a gauge of risk appetite. On November 19, 2025 it reported record revenue of $57.0 billion for its third fiscal quarter, and that same day he posted a video mapping Bitcoin's levels for each possible reaction.
The Total3 vs. Russell 2000 video (January 11, 2026): a way of looking at altcoins without looking only at their price.January 11, 2026· 17 views Loads from youtube-nocookie.com only when you press play.

If a term slips past you, it's in the glossary. And if you want RSI or MACD explained from scratch, without a specific market in the way, the Trading & strategy category has dedicated tutorials.

05 /

The 2025-2026 market, video by video

What follows lines up his video titles with what the market actually did. The market data is verified and dated; the targets are the ones he set out at each point, with the information available back then.

DateWhat happened in the marketHis video from those days
Aug 14, 2025New all-time high, about $124,500“¡Altseason inminente!” (Aug 8) and “¡Altcoins explotan!” (Aug 12)
Sep 17, 2025The Fed cuts rates by a quarter point, to 4%-4.25%“Tic tac… BTC rumbo a $126K” (Sep 18)
Oct 5-6, 2025Beats its record on the 5th and sets the all-time high, around $126,000, on the 6th“BTC rompe máximos históricos” (Oct 5)
Oct 10, 2025Over $19 billion in leveraged positions liquidated in roughly a day“No entres en pánico” (Oct 15)
Oct 29, 2025Second Fed cut, to 3.75%-4%“Habla Powell” (Oct 29)
Nov 4, 2025Falls below $100,000 for the first time since late June“Al borde del bear market” (Nov 5)
Nov 21, 2025Touches about $80,500, its lowest level since April“BTC en peligro…” (Nov 23)
Dec 10, 2025Third Fed cut, to 3.5%-3.75%“Todo cambia mañana” (Dec 9)
Feb 5-6, 2026Loses $70,000 and briefly touches about $60,000“La oportunidad de la década en Bitcoin” (Feb 5)
Prices: daily UTC candles from Bitstamp and Coinbase Exchange, checked on October 2, 2026 (other platforms differ slightly). Rates: Federal Reserve. Liquidations: FTI Consulting (see sources). Video titles in the original Spanish.

Summer 2025: targets from $125,000 to $140,000

The category opens on July 14, 2025, the day Bitcoin set a record of about $123,200, asking whether it was “rumbo a los 140.000” (heading for $140,000) as a last stop before a bear market and altseason. Then come the falling wedge, its breakout toward $125,000 and, in August, falling dominance and $130,000 targets. By August 12 he was already watching a possible double top, and on the 22nd, the day of Powell's Jackson Hole speech, the question was whether Bitcoin could drop to $100,000.

September was a tug-of-war: the inverse head and shoulders on the 7th, the follow-up on the 10th and, after the rate cut on the 17th, a call for $126,000 on the 18th. At the end of the month, after a drop from nearly $118,000 to about $108,700 in a week, he argued that the underlying trend was still intact even if price corrected to the $100,000-$103,000 zone.

October 2025: the top and October 10

On October 1 he saw a double bottom with a $127,000 target. On the 5th, Bitcoin broke its previous record and he posted “BTC rompe máximos históricos” (BTC breaks all-time highs), aiming for $140,000. The next day, October 6, 2025, Bitcoin set its all-time high, around $126,000, and as of October 2, 2026 it remains the record. The $140,000 never came; the double bottom fell just short of its target.

Posted the day Bitcoin broke its previous record: euphoria in real time, useful for seeing how targets get set right at a top.October 5, 2025· 66 views Loads from youtube-nocookie.com only when you press play.

Four days later the blow landed. On October 10, after Trump threatened an additional 100% tariff on China, more than $19 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated in roughly a day, according to an analysis by the consultancy FTI Consulting, which stresses that the crash didn't stem from fraud or the failure of a major institution. His October 15 video was titled “No entres en pánico: BTC sigue alcista a pesar de la caída” (don't panic: BTC is still bullish despite the drop), and the one on the 29th, the day of the second rate cut, “Habla Powell: todo listo para despegar” (Powell speaks: all set for takeoff).

November and December 2025: the bear-market debate

On November 2 he posted “¿Se acabó el bull market?” (is the bull market over?), his most-watched analysis, with 526 views as of October 2, 2026. Two days later, Bitcoin fell below $100,000 for the first time since late June. The titles from those weeks capture the dilemma: “Al borde del bear market” (on the edge of a bear market, November 5), $98,000 as the line in the sand (November 13) and, against the crowd, “Todos hablan de bear market… ¿pero y si pasa lo contrario?” (everyone's talking bear market, but what if the opposite happens?, November 15).

The most-watched analysis in the category: daily and weekly charts to judge whether the bull cycle was still alive, two days before Bitcoin lost $100,000.November 2, 2025· 526 views Loads from youtube-nocookie.com only when you press play.

On the 19th it was NVIDIA's turn, and on the 21st Bitcoin fell to about $80,500. On the 26th he floated a bounce toward $108,000 as a possible zone to take some money off the table, and on December 2, a double bottom toward $103,000-$108,000. December closed with another Fed cut, a “muy peligroso” (very dangerous) weekly close on the 14th, a breakdown from a bearish wedge and several weeks of sideways action that he titled “Calma total en BTC: antes de que todo cambie” (total calm in BTC before everything changes).

January to April 2026: $75,000, $60,000 and the fight for $72,000

January opened with “Predicción Bitcoin 2026: ¿bull run histórico o crash total?” (historic bull run or total crash?) and the Total3 vs. Russell 2000 comparison. On February 1, with Bitcoin around $75,000 and, by his reading, below its 50 moving average, he asked whether it was a trap and compared it with what Google and NVIDIA did before their big runs. On February 5 he talked about the 200 moving average as a historical long-term buying zone. That same night, Bitcoin briefly touched about $60,000, less than half its October peak.

The second half of February was about short-term levels: on the 15th, a break above $72,000 as the door to $80,000 (on Bitstamp and Coinbase, price didn't get past about $70,900 that day, and it didn't clear $72,000 until March 4), and on the 18th, the “¿80.000 o 58.000?” triangle. Before that, on February 8, he left a dated idea worth revisiting now: based on the pattern of previous cycles, he placed the end of the bear market around October 2026. That's exactly the month this page is being written, so check it against today's chart, not the video. For reference, the lowest point since the peak, as of October 2, 2026, was about $57,700, on July 1, 2026. The last analysis, from April 22, pushes back against euphoria: he sees a possible rising wedge on the weekly and daily charts and warns it's still too early to declare victory (“aún es pronto”).

06 /

How to watch a technical analysis video critically

This applies to these videos and to any other channel's. Before you let an analysis influence what you do with your money, run it through this filter:

  • Confirmation. What has to happen for the pattern to count? Usually a candle close on the analysis timeframe. A wick that pierces a level and snaps back isn't a breakout.
  • Invalidation. Where's the level that kills the idea? If you can't find it, the video is giving you an opinion, not a plan.
  • Timeframe. A 4-hour scenario, like the “zona de la muerte” (death zone) one from February 12, 2026, can play out in a day; a weekly one, over months. Don't mix up the video's time horizon with yours.
  • Risk. How much would you lose if the invalidation hit? If the answer keeps you up at night, the position is too big, however good the analysis.
  • Highlight bias. In hindsight there's always a video that “called it.” Count the scenarios that didn't play out too, like the $140,000 of summer 2025.
  • Macro context. The Fed, jobs data, big tech earnings, tariffs. A beautiful pattern can be blown apart by a headline, as happened on October 10, 2025.

En este vídeo no te voy a decir el futuro, pero sí quiero mostrarte una curiosa similitud que he encontrado.

— Description of “¿Trampa en 75k?”, February 1, 2026. In English: “In this video I'm not going to tell you the future, but I do want to show you a curious similarity I've found.”
An analysis framed as a hypothesis: it compares Bitcoin at $75,000 with Google and NVIDIA and leaves the judgment to you.February 1, 2026· 207 views Loads from youtube-nocookie.com only when you press play.

07 /

Where to start in this category

If you're only going to watch a few, make it these, in this order. Between them they cover the patterns, the indicators and the two big moments of the period:

  1. “¿Se acabó el bull market?” (November 2, 2025): the most-watched video in the category and a good example of reading the daily and weekly charts together.
  2. “¡Mañana es clave!” and “¡Aún no es tarde!” (September 7 and 10, 2025): an inverse head and shoulders, laid out and then followed up.
  3. “Este cierre semanal de BTC es muy peligroso” (December 14, 2025): why the weekly close matters more than day-to-day noise.
  4. “¿Bitcoin o altcoins? El gráfico que lo cambia todo” (January 11, 2026): Total3, dominance and the Russell 2000 in one video.
  5. “Bitcoin al límite: triángulo simétrico” (February 18, 2026): two scenarios and one deciding level.

To round it out: weekly closes, cycles and the final analysis

⚠️ ESTE CIERRE SEMANAL DE BTC ES MUY PELIGROSO… ¿QUÉ VIENE AHORA?

· 177 views

Bear Market 2026: ¿Cuándo es el MEJOR momento para invertir en Bitcoin?

· 255 views

Aún es pronto ¡Que no te engañen! La gran trampa de BTC

· 51 views

To understand why the market moves in multi-year cycles, the cycles and halving guide provides the context these videos take for granted. If you prefer quick takes, many of these moments are also covered in the channel's Shorts, and all the videos has the rest of the library, filterable by topic.

FAQ /

Frequently asked questions

Are Cripto Adicto's Bitcoin analyses investment recommendations?

No. They're dated technical analyses that lay out scenarios: if price confirms a level, one outcome is likely; if it loses it, another. He put it in writing in the description of his February 10, 2026 analysis: “Esto no es consejo financiero, es mi visión personal del mercado y mi propia estrategia” (this isn't financial advice, it's my personal view of the market and my own strategy). Use them to learn how to read a chart and to test your own ideas, never as an order to buy or sell.

When did Bitcoin hit its all-time high?

On October 6, 2025, with an intraday high of about $126,300 ($126,272 on Bitstamp and $126,296 on Coinbase); other platforms show slightly different figures. The day before, it had already beaten its August 14 record, and that October 5 he posted the analysis “BTC rompe máximos históricos”. As of October 2, 2026, that is still the record.

What is Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D)?

It's Bitcoin's percentage of the total crypto market cap. If it falls while altcoins rise, money is rotating into them, which is why traders watch it to anticipate a possible altseason. But it also falls when stablecoins gain share, so it's best read alongside Total3 and price, never on its own.

What does it mean when a chart pattern is invalidated?

It means price did exactly what the pattern couldn't allow: for example, breaking below the low of the head in an inverse head and shoulders. At that point the idea stops being valid, however convincing the video was. A good analysis tells you where that level is before it happens, and good risk management puts your exit there.

Why does the weekly close matter so much for Bitcoin?

Because it compresses seven days of fighting into a single candle and filters out the noise of midweek wicks. On many platforms the week closes at 00:00 UTC on Monday, which is 1:00 a.m. in mainland Spain in winter and 2:00 a.m. in summer; some start the weekly candle on Thursday instead. A close on the other side of a key level counts for more than an intraday touch.

Are there analyses more recent than April 2026?

Not in this category: the last one is from April 22, 2026. Since then the channel has mostly published Entiende Cripto episodes, rankings, tutorials and beginner videos, plus a few Shorts. If you're looking for a view on today's market, always check the video's date and compare its levels with today's chart.